Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Space Cowboy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Pongola              5    56.5    1    0.00     0.0   81    69           69    -12
2    Aerial Display       5    58.0    2    1.10     0.0   -     76           76    +76
3    Space Cowboy         3    60.0    3    1.70     6.0   67    67           67    +0
4    Power Star           2    58.0    4    2.40     0.0   64    74           74    +10
5    Grande Lupo          2    58.0    5    2.80     0.0   66    74           74    +8
6    L'Ultimo             2    58.0    6    3.10     0.0   66    74           74    +8
7    Natyam               5    58.0    7    3.20     0.0   -     74           74    +74
8    African Dusk         5    58.0    8    4.30     0.0   -     72           72    +72
9    Menelaus             3    58.0    9    5.00     6.0   -     60           60    +60
10   Miraculous Man       3    58.0    10   6.20     6.0   -     60           60    +60
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Pongola 81 66 69 -3 0.0 -
2 Aerial Display - 68 76 -8 0.0 -
3 Space Cowboy Line 67 67 67 ✓ Match 6.0
4 Power Star 64 58 74 -16 0.0 -
5 Grande Lupo 66 62 74 -12 0.0 -
6 L'Ultimo 66 61 74 -13 0.0 -
7 Natyam - 102 74 +28 0.0 -
8 African Dusk - 83 72 +11 0.0 -
9 Menelaus - 78 60 +18 6.0 -
10 Miraculous Man - 45 60 -15 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points