Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: MAIDEN PLATE (3 year olds) (3 year old maidens)
Line Horse
Elmhurst
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 5
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 5
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 5
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Testify 2 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 67 58 58 -9 2 Walking Thru Time 3 57.5 2 0.50 7.5 - 48 48 +48 3 Elmhurst 2 60.0 3 2.00 5.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Montanna Bay 2 57.5 4 3.25 5.0 51 53 53 +2 5 Red Top 5 60.0 5 10.25 0.0 - 68 68 +68 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Testify | 67 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Walking Thru Time | - | 73 | 48 | +25 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Elmhurst Line | 58 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Montanna Bay | 51 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Top | - | 70 | 68 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points