Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: #DestinationCapeRacing FM 95 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Academic Gold
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Time Flies 3 52.0 1 0.00 8.0 80 61 80 +0 2 Scented Mistress 4 59.5 2 1.25 4.5 94 87 87 -7 3 Black Silver 4 59.5 3 1.75 4.5 94 86 86 -8 4 Academic Gold 5 54.0 4 2.75 0.0 83 83 83 +0 5 Fleeting 3 54.0 5 3.05 8.0 84 67 74 -10 6 Official Secret 6 52.0 6 4.55 0.0 80 77 77 -3 7 Peut Etre Moi 3 52.5 7 4.95 8.0 81 62 71 -10 8 She's A Rainbow 3 57.0 8 5.45 8.0 90 71 80 -10 9 Flower Of Saigon 4 60.5 9 5.85 4.5 96 85 86 -10 10 Evening Primrose 3 55.5 10 7.10 8.0 87 68 77 -10 11 Young Love 3 61.0 11 14.10 8.0 98 79 88 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Time Flies | 80 | 117 | 80 | +37 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Scented Mistress | 94 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Black Silver | 94 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Academic Gold Line | 83 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Fleeting | 84 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Official Secret | 80 | 103 | 77 | +26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Peut Etre Moi | 81 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | She's A Rainbow | 90 | 85 | 80 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flower Of Saigon | 96 | 102 | 86 | +16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Evening Primrose | 87 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 8.0 | - | |
| 11 | Young Love | 98 | 95 | 88 | +7 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points