Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)
Line Horse
Sun Dazed
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 King Regent 3 52.0 1 0.00 7.5 84 59 59 -25 2 Benjamin 4 56.0 2 0.40 9.0 80 64 70 -10 3 Proud Master 3 60.0 3 2.15 7.5 89 75 79 -10 4 Sun Dazed 6 60.0 4 3.40 0.0 90 90 90 +0 5 Let It Burn 3 58.0 5 4.15 7.5 84 71 74 -10 6 Moon Rock 7 52.0 6 4.65 0.0 74 74 74 +0 7 Elusive Trader 6 56.0 7 5.40 0.0 81 82 82 +1 8 Masked Vigilante 3 54.0 8 5.90 7.5 78 63 68 -10 9 Fort Red 4 52.0 9 6.90 9.0 73 56 63 -10 10 The Second Wave 5 60.0 10 8.40 0.0 89 90 90 +1 11 Transact 3 56.0 11 8.45 7.5 81 67 71 -10 12 Shifting Path 2 56.0 12 8.95 5.0 91 72 81 -10 13 Le Mans 2 56.0 13 11.70 5.0 93 72 83 -10 14 Kalahari Ferrari 3 62.0 14 11.90 7.5 95 79 85 -10 15 Silent Trigger 6 56.0 15 12.10 0.0 82 82 82 +0 16 Final Move 3 54.0 16 12.15 7.5 78 63 68 -10 17 Poltergeist 3 54.0 17 12.20 7.5 78 63 68 -10 99 Bonanza 3 54.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Pashtunwali 6 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Regent | 84 | 106 | 59 | +47 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Benjamin | 80 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Proud Master | 89 | 97 | 79 | +18 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Sun Dazed Line | 90 | 64 | 90 | -26 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Let It Burn | 84 | 89 | 74 | +15 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Moon Rock | 74 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Elusive Trader | 81 | 72 | 82 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Masked Vigilante | 78 | 78 | 68 | +10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 9 | Fort Red | 73 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | The Second Wave | 89 | 87 | 90 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Transact | 81 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 12 | Shifting Path | 91 | 62 | 81 | -19 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Le Mans | 93 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Kalahari Ferrari | 95 | 87 | 85 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 15 | Silent Trigger | 82 | 60 | 82 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Final Move | 78 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 7.5 | - | |
| 17 | Poltergeist | 78 | 71 | 68 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bonanza | - | 57 | 63 | -6 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Pashtunwali | - | 58 | 70 | -12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points