Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: #THISISRACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Last Survivor
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Covert Operator 6 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 64 80 70 +6 2 Wind Water 3 59.0 2 0.30 7.5 - 63 63 +63 3 Bowl First 3 59.0 3 1.55 7.5 - 63 63 +63 4 Last Survivor 2 59.0 4 2.85 5.0 68 68 68 +0 5 Fort Apache 2 59.0 5 4.85 5.0 74 68 68 -6 6 Namaqua Red 2 59.0 6 7.10 5.0 61 68 68 +7 7 Stella Brillante 2 59.0 7 8.90 5.0 66 68 68 +2 8 Blyde River 4 60.0 8 9.70 9.0 46 62 62 +16 99 Tincture Time 3 59.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Egyptian King 3 59.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 63 63 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covert Operator | 64 | 77 | 70 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Wind Water | - | 89 | 63 | +26 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bowl First | - | 78 | 63 | +15 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Last Survivor Line | 68 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Fort Apache | 74 | 63 | 68 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Namaqua Red | 61 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Stella Brillante | 66 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blyde River | 46 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tincture Time | - | 53 | 63 | -10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Egyptian King | - | - | 63 | -63 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points