Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tothemoonandback
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Scalini 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 88 83 88 +0 2 Tothemoonandback 5 57.5 2 0.30 0.0 85 85 85 +0 3 Max The Otter 2 59.5 3 0.70 0.0 88 89 89 +1 4 Future Swing 2 57.5 4 1.10 0.0 85 84 84 -1 5 Kitchakal 5 60.0 5 1.30 0.0 90 88 88 -2 6 Gimme More Time 5 55.5 6 1.60 0.0 81 79 79 -2 7 Captain's Knot 3 58.0 7 2.00 7.0 72 70 70 -2 99 Futurismo 3 56.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scalini | 88 | 70 | 88 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tothemoonandback Line | 85 | 69 | 85 | -16 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Max The Otter | 88 | 72 | 89 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Future Swing | 85 | 116 | 84 | +32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kitchakal | 90 | 86 | 88 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gimme More Time | 81 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain's Knot | 72 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Futurismo | - | 60 | 64 | -4 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points