Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: JOBURG TOURISM MAGNOLIA HANDICAP (Grade 3) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lucy In The Sky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Alula's Star 3 55.5 1 0.00 7.5 97 100 97 +0 2 Gobsmacked 2 56.5 2 0.20 5.0 109 107 107 -2 3 Lucy In The Sky 4 54.5 3 2.00 9.0 95 95 95 +0 4 Miss Cool 2 54.0 4 2.75 5.0 104 102 102 -2 5 May Queen 5 54.0 5 3.45 0.0 89 112 112 +23 6 Wishful Girl Linn 5 54.0 6 3.50 0.0 94 112 112 +18 7 Aunty Lizzy 3 55.5 7 4.00 7.5 97 100 100 +3 8 Sweet Pepper 2 59.5 8 4.75 5.0 115 113 113 -2 9 Supreme Quest 3 60.0 9 7.75 7.5 106 109 109 +3 10 Kissing Point 3 59.5 10 10.00 7.5 105 108 108 +3 11 Sashay Away 3 56.5 11 10.25 7.5 99 102 102 +3 12 Kiss Me Captain 2 54.0 12 10.50 5.0 98 102 102 +4 99 Iphiko 3 55.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 99 99 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alula's Star | 97 | 102 | 97 | +5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Gobsmacked | 109 | 106 | 107 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lucy In The Sky Line | 95 | 74 | 95 | -21 | 9.0 | ||
| 4 | Miss Cool | 104 | 106 | 102 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | May Queen | 89 | 90 | 112 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Wishful Girl Linn | 94 | 85 | 112 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Aunty Lizzy | 97 | 84 | 100 | -16 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sweet Pepper | 115 | 105 | 113 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Supreme Quest | 106 | 92 | 109 | -17 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Kissing Point | 105 | 99 | 108 | -9 | 7.5 | - | |
| 11 | Sashay Away | 99 | 88 | 102 | -14 | 7.5 | - | |
| 12 | Kiss Me Captain | 98 | 112 | 102 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Iphiko | - | 111 | 99 | +12 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points