Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: BET WITH TAB MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gimmelightning 2 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 - - - +0 2 Icy Blast 4 60.0 2 0.75 9.0 - - - +0 3 Speeding Bullet 2 60.0 3 3.00 5.0 - - - +0 4 Manchester Fighter 2 60.0 4 4.75 5.0 - - - +0 5 Jewel Cat 2 60.0 5 5.15 5.0 - - - +0 6 Spirit's Unite 2 60.0 6 5.90 5.0 - - - +0 7 Flash Lightning 4 60.0 7 6.20 9.0 - - - +0 8 Nishino 2 60.0 8 6.95 5.0 - - - +0 9 Avignon 4 60.0 9 7.35 9.0 - - - +0 10 Alley Of Fact 2 60.0 10 9.60 5.0 - - - +0 11 Pompei Warning 2 60.0 11 10.60 5.0 - - - +0 12 Fujisan 4 60.0 12 12.85 9.0 - - - +0 13 Lord Milori 2 60.0 13 15.35 5.0 - - - +0 99 Honshu 2 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - - - +0 99 Major Apollo 2 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimmelightning | - | 95 | - | +95 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Icy Blast | - | 88 | - | +88 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Speeding Bullet | - | 73 | - | +73 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Manchester Fighter | - | 66 | - | +66 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jewel Cat | - | 91 | - | +91 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Spirit's Unite | - | 70 | - | +70 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flash Lightning | - | 69 | - | +69 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Nishino | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Avignon | - | 61 | - | +61 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Alley Of Fact | - | 53 | - | +53 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Pompei Warning | - | 75 | - | +75 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Fujisan | - | 60 | - | +60 | 9.0 | - | |
| 13 | Lord Milori | - | 64 | - | +64 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Honshu | - | 71 | - | - | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Major Apollo | - | 72 | - | - | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points