Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: Hollywoodbets WORK RIDERS' MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Rafiki
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Future Turn 5 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 81 70 -11 2 Night Tiger 5 61.0 2 1.25 0.0 74 81 81 +7 3 Rock On Tommy 3 62.0 3 2.50 7.5 57 68 68 +11 4 Rafiki 2 61.0 4 2.90 5.0 71 71 71 +0 5 What Now My Gal 2 58.5 5 3.30 5.0 72 66 66 -6 6 Sparkling Crystal 3 59.5 6 5.05 7.5 48 63 63 +15 7 Not In Doubt 2 61.0 7 6.55 5.0 73 71 71 -2 8 Green In Spring 2 61.0 8 6.95 5.0 66 71 71 +5 9 Barnbougle 3 62.0 9 7.95 7.5 66 68 68 +2 10 Electric Feels 5 58.5 10 8.25 0.0 78 76 76 -2 11 Social Distance 3 58.5 11 13.50 7.5 - 61 61 +61 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Future Turn | 81 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Night Tiger | 74 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Rock On Tommy | 57 | 50 | 68 | -18 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Rafiki Line | 71 | 67 | 71 | -4 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | What Now My Gal | 72 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sparkling Crystal | 48 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Not In Doubt | 73 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Green In Spring | 66 | 54 | 71 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Barnbougle | 66 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Electric Feels | 78 | 57 | 76 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Social Distance | - | 48 | 61 | -13 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points