Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tirpitz
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Asiye Phambili 3 59.5 1 0.00 7.0 83 52 83 +0 2 Trident King 3 60.0 2 1.25 7.0 70 57 60 -10 3 Montmerency 3 58.5 3 1.75 7.0 67 53 57 -10 4 Tirpitz 6 62.0 4 2.25 0.0 74 74 74 +0 5 Kalahari Blue 2 59.0 5 2.50 0.0 82 67 72 -10 6 Prosper's Gift 2 54.5 6 4.00 0.0 73 57 63 -10 7 Mcebisi 4 61.0 7 4.75 4.0 72 61 62 -10 8 West Coast Lover 4 59.0 8 20.25 4.0 68 57 58 -10 99 Ice Man Cometh 4 58.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 56 56 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asiye Phambili | 83 | 119 | 83 | +36 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Trident King | 70 | 65 | 60 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Montmerency | 67 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tirpitz Line | 74 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Kalahari Blue | 82 | 75 | 72 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Prosper's Gift | 73 | 64 | 63 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mcebisi | 72 | 70 | 62 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | West Coast Lover | 68 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ice Man Cometh | - | 67 | 56 | +11 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points