Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BOOK A TABLE CALL 0116811796 MR 89 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Raffles
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Star Coin 5 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 88 85 88 +0 2 Raffles 2 60.0 2 2.00 0.0 99 99 99 +0 3 Tsar Bomba 3 58.0 3 3.50 5.0 95 83 85 -10 4 Sage King 3 55.0 4 4.75 5.0 79 76 76 -3 5 Mini Coop 3 56.5 5 6.50 5.0 82 79 79 -3 6 Letsdoit 3 53.5 6 8.25 5.0 76 73 73 -3 99 Fast Love 4 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 87 87 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Star Coin | 88 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Raffles Line | 99 | 105 | 99 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Tsar Bomba | 95 | 91 | 85 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sage King | 79 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mini Coop | 82 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Letsdoit | 76 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fast Love | - | 90 | 87 | +3 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points