Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CAPE SUMMER FESTIVAL OF RACING MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHTS (F & M) (For all Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Destined To Dance
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Soft Touch 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 69 65 65 -4 2 Destined To Dance 3 54.0 2 2.25 7.0 51 51 51 +0 3 Summer Night City 5 56.0 3 3.00 0.0 68 67 67 -1 4 Catchusifyoucan 3 55.0 4 3.75 7.0 66 50 56 -10 5 Grandi Orecchie 2 59.0 5 4.25 0.0 74 72 72 -2 6 Lady Writer 3 59.5 6 5.50 7.0 75 57 65 -10 7 Future Legend 2 56.0 7 8.50 0.0 68 64 64 -4 8 Sunlit From Heaven 3 60.0 8 8.90 7.0 76 58 66 -10 9 Dream Spirit 2 53.5 9 11.15 0.0 63 59 59 -4 10 Ana In Seattle 3 54.5 10 11.45 7.0 65 47 55 -10 11 Piper's Creek 3 50.0 11 13.95 7.0 48 38 38 -10 12 Chelsea Garden 2 55.5 12 35.45 0.0 67 63 63 -4 99 Global Avenue 3 59.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 57 57 +0 99 Mothership 5 50.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 52 52 +0 99 By Midnight 3 50.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 38 38 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soft Touch | 69 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Destined To Dance Line | 51 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Summer Night City | 68 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Catchusifyoucan | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Grandi Orecchie | 74 | 85 | 72 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Writer | 75 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Future Legend | 68 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sunlit From Heaven | 76 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dream Spirit | 63 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ana In Seattle | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Piper's Creek | 48 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Chelsea Garden | 67 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Avenue | - | 64 | 57 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mothership | - | 50 | 52 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | By Midnight | - | 55 | 38 | +17 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points