Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RaceCape Powered By Hollywoodbets MR 93 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Let It Burn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Captain Bombshell 2 57.0 1 0.00 4.0 95 91 95 +0 2 Royal Aussie 2 58.5 2 1.25 4.0 98 94 94 -4 3 Let It Burn 3 55.5 3 1.55 6.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Beerenberg 2 56.0 4 2.30 4.0 93 89 89 -4 5 Transact 3 54.0 5 3.05 6.0 81 81 81 +0 6 Blizzard 3 53.5 6 4.05 6.0 80 80 80 +0 7 Barney Mcgrew 4 59.0 7 4.55 7.0 91 89 89 -2 8 Proud Master 3 58.0 8 4.75 6.0 89 89 89 +0 9 Big Slick 2 52.0 9 5.25 4.0 85 81 81 -4 10 Marvel William 2 55.0 10 7.00 4.0 91 87 87 -4 11 Tough Terrain 5 55.0 11 7.05 0.0 91 95 95 +4 12 Double Charge 5 60.0 12 8.80 0.0 93 105 105 +12 13 Giacomo Puccini 4 60.0 13 13.05 7.0 93 91 91 -2 14 Solar Power 3 56.0 14 15.80 6.0 85 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Captain Bombshell | 95 | 106 | 95 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Royal Aussie | 98 | 120 | 94 | +26 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Let It Burn Line | 84 | 89 | 84 | +5 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Beerenberg | 93 | 76 | 89 | -13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Transact | 81 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blizzard | 80 | 77 | 80 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Barney Mcgrew | 91 | 69 | 89 | -20 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Proud Master | 89 | 97 | 89 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Big Slick | 85 | 64 | 81 | -17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Marvel William | 91 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Tough Terrain | 91 | 81 | 95 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Double Charge | 93 | 80 | 105 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Giacomo Puccini | 93 | 72 | 91 | -19 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | Solar Power | 85 | 88 | 85 | +3 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points