Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: NEXT FESTIVAL MEETING SUNDAY 11 DECEMBER MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Teatro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ensuing              2    61.0    1    0.00     4.0   84    76           84    +0
2    Charlie Malone       5    58.5    2    0.50     0.0   79    79           79    +0
3    Quandary             5    60.5    3    0.55     0.0   83    83           83    +0
4    Teatro               5    61.5    4    2.30     0.0   85    85           85    +0
5    Superior Leader      4    56.0    5    3.30     7.0   66    60           60    -6
6    Cheeky Laddie        5    59.5    6    4.55     0.0   81    81           81    +0
7    Masked Vigilante     3    60.5    7    5.55     6.0   75    71           71    -4
8    Captive Moon         6    56.5    8    5.95     0.0   67    75           75    +8
9    Mr Frostie           4    52.0    9    7.20     7.0   57    52           52    -5
10   Wyag                 2    61.0    10   9.45     4.0   84    76           76    -8
11   Paper Trail          4    60.0    11   10.20    7.0   74    68           68    -6
12   Noble Kingdom        3    57.5    12   10.30    6.0   77    65           67    -10
13   Moon Rock            7    59.0    13   10.80    0.0   72    80           80    +8
14   Tuscan Gold          2    54.0    14   10.85    4.0   70    62           62    -8
15   Poltergeist          3    61.5    15   19.10    6.0   77    73           73    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ensuing 84 87 84 +3 4.0 -
2 Charlie Malone 79 71 79 -8 0.0 -
3 Quandary 83 88 83 +5 0.0 -
4 Teatro Line 85 91 85 +6 0.0
5 Superior Leader 66 64 60 +4 7.0 -
6 Cheeky Laddie 81 87 81 +6 0.0 -
7 Masked Vigilante 75 78 71 +7 6.0 -
8 Captive Moon 67 75 75 ✓ Match 0.0 -
9 Mr Frostie 57 51 52 -1 7.0 -
10 Wyag 84 74 76 -2 4.0 -
11 Paper Trail 74 60 68 -8 7.0 -
12 Noble Kingdom 77 57 67 -10 6.0 -
13 Moon Rock 72 69 80 -11 0.0 -
14 Tuscan Gold 70 84 62 +22 4.0 -
15 Poltergeist 77 71 73 -2 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points