Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: TAB J J THE JET PLANE STAKES (Grade 3) (For all Horses)
Line Horse
Mover And Shaker
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 William Robertson 6 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 125 120 120 -5 2 Golden Sickle 4 57.5 2 2.25 4.0 121 103 111 -10 3 Mover And Shaker 5 58.0 3 3.50 0.0 112 112 112 +0 4 Time Fo Orchids 5 53.5 4 3.70 0.0 107 103 103 -4 5 Chocolate Soldier 3 56.0 5 5.40 3.5 115 101 105 -10 6 Mount Pilatus 4 54.0 6 6.40 4.0 106 96 96 -10 7 Taxi To The Moon 3 52.0 7 6.50 3.5 105 93 95 -10 8 Magic Tattoo 5 54.0 8 7.00 0.0 105 104 104 -1 9 Winds Of Change 3 54.0 9 7.30 3.5 107 97 97 -10 10 Dreamland 4 56.0 10 8.00 4.0 109 100 100 -9 11 Exchange Student 4 51.5 11 8.50 4.0 106 91 96 -10 12 Mrs Browning 5 57.5 12 12.75 0.0 118 111 111 -7 13 Dontshootthebarman 5 50.0 13 15.75 0.0 92 96 96 +4 14 Sheldon 6 56.0 14 18.25 0.0 108 108 108 +0 15 Karate Kid 3 52.0 15 99.99 3.5 106 93 96 -10 99 Dyce 6 62.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 120 120 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Robertson | 125 | 124 | 120 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Golden Sickle | 121 | 121 | 111 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mover And Shaker Line | 112 | 109 | 112 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Time Fo Orchids | 107 | 109 | 103 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chocolate Soldier | 115 | 108 | 105 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Mount Pilatus | 106 | 113 | 96 | +17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Taxi To The Moon | 105 | 119 | 95 | +24 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Magic Tattoo | 105 | 93 | 104 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winds Of Change | 107 | 102 | 97 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Dreamland | 109 | 103 | 100 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Exchange Student | 106 | 104 | 96 | +8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mrs Browning | 118 | 115 | 111 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Dontshootthebarman | 92 | 93 | 96 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Sheldon | 108 | 106 | 108 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Karate Kid | 106 | 103 | 96 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Dyce | - | 128 | 120 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points