Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: #DestinationCapeRacing MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Stratospheric
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Charlie Croker 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 82 82 82 +0 2 Intimidator 2 60.0 2 1.00 0.0 80 86 86 +6 3 Stratospheric 2 60.0 3 1.30 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Master Josh 2 60.0 4 1.70 0.0 85 85 85 +0 5 Marshall Field 3 60.0 5 2.20 5.0 - 75 75 +75 6 Augusta Blue 5 60.0 6 2.30 0.0 - 84 84 +84 7 Lockheedlightning 2 60.0 7 4.30 0.0 72 82 82 +10 8 Aspect 2 60.0 8 6.05 0.0 80 82 82 +2 9 Run For Me 2 60.0 9 6.35 0.0 81 82 82 +1 10 Settle The Dust 2 60.0 10 8.60 0.0 68 82 82 +14 11 Wayward Girl 3 58.0 11 9.35 5.0 59 68 68 +9 12 Shoefella 2 60.0 12 10.10 0.0 - 82 82 +82 99 Quixote 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Rainbow Colours 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Croker | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Intimidator | 80 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Stratospheric Line | 85 | 97 | 85 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Master Josh | 85 | 97 | 85 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Marshall Field | - | 77 | 75 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Augusta Blue | - | 69 | 84 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lockheedlightning | 72 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Aspect | 80 | 93 | 82 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Run For Me | 81 | 65 | 82 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Settle The Dust | 68 | 54 | 82 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Wayward Girl | 59 | 56 | 68 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Shoefella | - | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Quixote | - | 69 | 82 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rainbow Colours | - | 63 | 72 | -9 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points