Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 23 DECEMBER FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Variety Breeze
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Princess Deb's 3 62.0 1 0.00 6.0 80 82 80 +0 2 Quick Count 3 53.0 2 0.25 6.0 62 64 64 +2 3 Variety Breeze 4 61.0 3 1.50 7.0 78 78 78 +0 4 For All We Know 3 58.0 4 3.00 6.0 72 74 74 +2 5 Isn't It Bliss 4 52.5 5 3.05 7.0 49 61 61 +12 6 Tipsy Tina 2 55.5 6 3.15 4.0 75 73 73 -2 7 Quenanza 4 52.5 7 5.40 7.0 59 61 61 +2 8 Buttercup 3 58.5 8 5.50 6.0 73 75 75 +2 9 Waya Yire 3 57.0 9 6.00 6.0 70 72 72 +2 10 Savannah Winter 3 60.0 10 6.50 6.0 76 78 78 +2 11 Runningforthestars 5 52.0 11 6.75 0.0 59 74 74 +15 12 Easy Living 2 59.0 12 10.00 4.0 82 80 80 -2 13 La Vida 3 56.0 13 13.00 6.0 68 70 70 +2 14 Chere For Me 5 61.5 14 20.50 0.0 87 93 93 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princess Deb's | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quick Count | 62 | 69 | 64 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Variety Breeze Line | 78 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | For All We Know | 72 | 79 | 74 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Isn't It Bliss | 49 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tipsy Tina | 75 | 91 | 73 | +18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Quenanza | 59 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Buttercup | 73 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Waya Yire | 70 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Savannah Winter | 76 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Runningforthestars | 59 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Easy Living | 82 | 52 | 80 | -28 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | La Vida | 68 | 64 | 70 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 14 | Chere For Me | 87 | 70 | 93 | -23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points