Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: Hollywoodbets CAPE TOWN STREET PARADE CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses 3-yrs and older)
Line Horse
In The Ether
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 She's My Captain 3 55.0 1 0.00 6.0 65 54 54 -11 2 In The Ether 6 55.0 2 0.75 0.0 66 66 66 +0 3 Wylie Jack 6 55.0 3 2.00 0.0 62 66 66 +4 4 Final Move 3 61.0 4 2.20 6.0 73 66 66 -7 5 Axl 3 59.0 5 2.60 6.0 70 62 62 -8 6 Jury Duty 4 52.5 6 3.35 7.0 63 47 53 -10 7 Wordsworth 7 53.0 7 3.45 0.0 58 62 62 +4 8 Persistance 3 53.0 8 4.70 6.0 58 50 50 -8 9 Fort Red 4 61.0 9 5.00 7.0 72 64 64 -8 10 Bonanza 3 61.0 10 5.75 6.0 75 66 66 -9 11 Power Grid 8 61.0 11 6.25 0.0 73 78 78 +5 12 Georgie George 3 57.0 12 7.50 6.0 65 58 58 -7 13 Superior Leader 4 57.0 13 9.75 7.0 65 56 56 -9 14 King Mo 2 59.0 14 14.00 4.0 79 66 69 -10 99 Silver Salmon 3 61.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | She's My Captain | 65 | 77 | 54 | +23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | In The Ether Line | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Wylie Jack | 62 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Final Move | 73 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Axl | 70 | 84 | 62 | +22 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Jury Duty | 63 | 77 | 53 | +24 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wordsworth | 58 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Persistance | 58 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Fort Red | 72 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bonanza | 75 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Power Grid | 73 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Georgie George | 65 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Superior Leader | 65 | 64 | 56 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | King Mo | 79 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Salmon | - | 65 | 66 | -1 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points