Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: play.tabonline.co.za MR 90 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Night Ruler
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Watch 4 56.5 1 0.00 3.5 83 87 83 +0 2 Steinbeck 3 57.0 2 0.75 7.0 85 85 85 +0 3 Night Ruler 3 55.0 3 1.15 7.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Aeneas 3 57.0 4 2.15 7.0 85 84 84 -1 5 The Futurist 3 59.0 5 2.25 7.0 89 88 88 -1 6 I Want It All 3 60.0 6 2.35 7.0 91 89 89 -2 7 Dubai Lights 4 56.5 7 2.45 3.5 83 89 89 +6 8 Pas De Nom 2 56.5 8 2.95 0.0 97 96 96 -1 9 Global Ally 6 56.0 9 7.70 0.0 83 93 93 +10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Watch | 83 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Steinbeck | 85 | 79 | 85 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Night Ruler Line | 81 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Aeneas | 85 | 82 | 84 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Futurist | 89 | 104 | 88 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | I Want It All | 91 | 86 | 89 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dubai Lights | 83 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Pas De Nom | 97 | 91 | 96 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Global Ally | 83 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points