Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 30 DECEMBER FM 68 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Opera Swing
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 River Cafe 4 61.5 1 0.00 3.5 71 65 71 +0 2 Wildest Dreams 3 61.5 2 0.50 7.0 72 65 65 -7 3 Opera Swing 4 57.0 3 1.00 3.5 62 62 62 +0 4 Maiden's Cove 3 55.5 4 1.05 7.0 60 52 52 -8 5 Sugarberry 2 54.0 5 1.30 0.0 70 62 62 -8 6 Silvia Louise 4 52.5 6 1.40 3.5 53 52 52 -1 7 Hey Siri 2 54.5 7 1.50 0.0 71 63 63 -8 8 Anatura 5 61.0 8 3.00 0.0 70 74 74 +4 9 Mansooriya 3 52.5 9 3.75 7.0 54 42 44 -10 10 Crafty Heart 4 58.0 10 6.00 3.5 64 58 58 -6 11 Maiguru 2 52.5 11 6.25 0.0 66 54 56 -10 12 Emaline 4 61.0 12 15.00 3.5 70 64 64 -6 99 Basetsana 5 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Cafe | 71 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Wildest Dreams | 72 | 87 | 65 | +22 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Opera Swing Line | 62 | 82 | 62 | +20 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Maiden's Cove | 60 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Sugarberry | 70 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silvia Louise | 53 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Hey Siri | 71 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Anatura | 70 | 68 | 74 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mansooriya | 54 | 52 | 44 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Crafty Heart | 64 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Maiguru | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Emaline | 70 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Basetsana | - | 55 | 68 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points