Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: L'ORMARINS KINGS PLATE ON THE 7TH JANUARY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
William The First
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coronation Time 2 52.5 1 0.00 0.0 73 70 73 +0 2 Cosmic Event 5 57.0 2 0.50 0.0 82 86 86 +4 3 William The First 2 54.5 3 3.00 0.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Nothingelsematters 5 54.0 4 3.50 0.0 76 76 76 +0 5 Official Secret 6 60.0 5 4.00 0.0 75 87 87 +12 6 Sudden Song 3 58.0 6 4.10 7.0 71 69 69 -2 7 Twice The Master 3 55.0 7 5.10 7.0 65 61 61 -4 8 San Quintin 6 58.5 8 5.40 0.0 72 82 82 +10 9 Over Two You 3 61.5 9 5.70 7.0 78 74 74 -4 10 Soft Touch 2 53.0 10 6.45 0.0 74 71 71 -3 11 Mister Monocle 4 56.0 11 7.70 3.5 67 70 70 +3 12 Costa Smeralda 3 52.0 12 9.95 7.0 59 55 55 -4 13 Douglas 4 52.5 13 10.70 3.5 54 63 63 +9 14 Major Winter 5 52.0 14 12.20 0.0 52 69 69 +17 15 Street Art 3 57.0 15 12.70 7.0 82 65 72 -10 16 Captains World 5 57.0 16 99.99 0.0 68 79 79 +11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coronation Time | 73 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cosmic Event | 82 | 70 | 86 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | William The First Line | 77 | 75 | 77 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Nothingelsematters | 76 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Official Secret | 75 | 103 | 87 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sudden Song | 71 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twice The Master | 65 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | San Quintin | 72 | 58 | 82 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Over Two You | 78 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Soft Touch | 74 | 54 | 71 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mister Monocle | 67 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Costa Smeralda | 59 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Douglas | 54 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Major Winter | 52 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 15 | Street Art | 82 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 16 | Captains World | 68 | 68 | 79 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points