Race 5: www.caperacing.co.za MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)
KENILWORTH RACECOURSE | Saturday, 31 December 2022 | 15:05
Distance:
1600m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R120,000
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Blackberry Malt | 5 b. g | 52.0kg | 3 | Mr K Matsunyane | - | - | 82 | - |
| 1st | Quasiforsure TF | 4 b. g | 62.0kg | 2 | Mr S D Veale | - | 94 | 116 | 9/4 |
| 2nd | Silver Falcon | 6 b. g | 62.0kg | 6 | Mr G van Niekerk | 2.0 | 93 | 106 | 17/2 |
| 3rd | Prevalence | 3 b. c | 54.0kg | 5 | Mr R D Fourie | 2.75 | 90 | 83 | 5/2 |
| 4 | Pineapple Express | 3 b. g | 56.0kg | 4 | Mr P C Orffer | 2.8 | 80 | 82 | 40/1 |
| 5 | Shavout | 4 b. g | 56.0kg | 9 | Mr J W Jacobs | 3.1 | 80 | 70 | 25/1 |
| 6 | Champion Warrior | 3 b. c | 58.0kg | 7 | Mr L Mxothwa | 4.6 | 97 | 97 | 9/2 |
| 7 | Dowser | 5 b. g | 52.5kg (52.0) | 3 | Mr J P van der Merwe | 5.35 | 87 | 84 | 14/1 |
| 8 | Thunder Master | 6 b. g | 54.0kg | 8 | Mr G Wright | 5.4 | 79 | 80 | 25/1 |
| 9 | Wecangoallnight | 2 b. c | 58.0kg | 1 | Mr D L Ashby | 6.15 | 96 | 95 | 14/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
99.64s
Average Time
99.79s
Difference
%.2fs
Total Pool
R900,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quasiforsure | 1 | 94 | 116 | + 7 | + 15 | |
| Silver Falcon | 2 | 93 | 106 | -1 | + 14 | |
| Prevalence | 3 | 90 | 83 | -1 | -6 | |
| Pineapple Express | 4 | 80 | 82 | -1 | + 3 | |
| Shavout | 5 | 80 | 70 | -2 | -8 | |
| Champion Warrior | 6 | 97 | 97 | 0 | -2 | + 2 |
| Dowser | 7 | 87 | 84 | -2 | -1 | |
| Thunder Master | 8 | 79 | 80 | -2 | + 3 | |
| Wecangoallnight | 9 | 96 | 95 | -3 | + 2 | |
| Blackberry Malt | None | - | 82 | - | -193 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.
Stipes Report
THE STARTER REPORTED: a) Fair start. THE STIPENDIARY STEWARDS REPORTED: a) THUNDER MASTER (G Wright) was hanging out on the bend. b) WECANGOALLNIGHT (D Ashby) was hanging out throughout. c) SILVER FALCON (G van Niekerk) was momentarily held up for a clear run at the 400m when close to the heels of QUASIFORSURE (S Veale). JOCKEY AND/OR EQUIPMENT CHANGES: a) Jockey JP van der Merwe (DOWSER) rode +0.5kg (52.9kgs) RACE CARD CHANGES / OTHER a) Nil THE VETERINARY SURGEON REPORTED: a) QUASIFORSURE - abnormal respiratory noise SCRATCHED: a) BLACKBERRY MALT - Stewards permission (declared 11h53 on 20221228)