Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: www.caperacing.co.za MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older)
Line Horse
Silver Falcon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Quasiforsure 4 62.0 1 0.00 3.0 94 84 84 -10 2 Silver Falcon 6 62.0 2 2.00 0.0 93 93 93 +0 3 Prevalence 3 54.0 3 2.75 6.0 90 64 80 -10 4 Pineapple Express 3 56.0 4 2.80 6.0 80 68 70 -10 5 Shavout 4 56.0 5 3.10 3.0 80 74 74 -6 6 Champion Warrior 3 58.0 6 4.60 6.0 97 70 87 -10 7 Dowser 5 52.5 7 5.35 0.0 87 71 77 -10 8 Thunder Master 6 54.0 8 5.40 0.0 79 74 74 -5 9 Wecangoallnight 2 58.0 9 6.15 0.0 96 82 86 -10 99 Blackberry Malt 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quasiforsure | 94 | 116 | 84 | +32 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Silver Falcon Line | 93 | 106 | 93 | +13 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Prevalence | 90 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Pineapple Express | 80 | 82 | 70 | +12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Shavout | 80 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Champion Warrior | 97 | 97 | 87 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dowser | 87 | 84 | 77 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Thunder Master | 79 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Wecangoallnight | 96 | 95 | 86 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Blackberry Malt | - | 82 | 70 | +12 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points