Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASSIFIED STAKES (For horses 3-yrs and older)

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Line Horse
Poltergeist
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fort Red             4    59.0    1    0.00     7.0   70    69           69    -1
2    Poltergeist          3    61.0    2    1.25     6.0   75    75           75    +0
3    Tuscan Gold          2    55.0    3    2.50     4.0   70    67           67    -3
4    Bardolino            2    61.0    4    3.50     4.0   83    79           79    -4
5    Winter Pearl         6    59.0    5    4.50     0.0   69    83           83    +14
6    Fly To Rio           4    50.5    6    5.25     7.0   59    52           52    -7
7    I'll Slip Away       2    52.5    7    6.50     4.0   71    62           62    -9
8    Mr Frostie           4    53.0    8    8.00     7.0   56    57           57    +1
9    Captain's Knot       3    59.0    9    9.00     6.0   71    71           71    +0
10   Charlie Malone       5    61.0    10   12.00    0.0   82    87           87    +5
11   Noble Kingdom        3    57.0    11   12.30    6.0   75    67           67    -8
99   Cheeky Laddie        5    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     83           83    +0
99   Persistance          3    53.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     59           59    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fort Red 70 66 69 -3 7.0 -
2 Poltergeist Line 75 71 75 -4 6.0
3 Tuscan Gold 70 84 67 +17 4.0 -
4 Bardolino 83 79 79 ✓ Match 4.0 -
5 Winter Pearl 69 71 83 -12 0.0 -
6 Fly To Rio 59 54 52 +2 7.0 -
7 I'll Slip Away 71 51 62 -11 4.0 -
8 Mr Frostie 56 51 57 -6 7.0 -
9 Captain's Knot 71 68 71 -3 6.0 -
10 Charlie Malone 82 71 87 -16 0.0 -
11 Noble Kingdom 75 57 67 -10 6.0 -
99 Cheeky Laddie - 87 83 +4 0.0 -
99 Persistance - 50 59 -9 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points