Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: MERCHANTS ON LONG CHAIRMAN'S CUP (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Arctic Drift
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crome Yellow 7 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 106 102 102 -4 2 Senso Unico 3 56.0 2 1.00 8.0 106 87 96 -10 3 Thefutureisbright 3 50.0 3 1.50 8.0 95 75 85 -10 4 Arctic Drift 5 52.0 4 2.75 0.0 93 93 93 +0 5 Baratheon 3 52.0 5 2.80 8.0 96 77 86 -10 6 Super Silvano 5 58.0 6 3.20 0.0 108 105 105 -3 7 Rex Union 4 56.0 7 3.25 4.5 104 92 94 -10 8 One Way Traffic 4 60.0 8 3.55 4.5 111 99 101 -10 9 Black Thorn 4 56.0 9 3.85 4.5 103 91 93 -10 10 Shango 5 58.0 10 4.35 0.0 108 103 103 -5 11 Han Solo 5 54.0 11 5.85 0.0 100 94 94 -6 12 Navy Strength 3 52.0 12 6.25 8.0 99 74 89 -10 13 Chollima 6 52.5 13 6.55 0.0 98 91 91 -7 14 Master Redoute 3 52.0 14 7.05 8.0 99 74 89 -10 99 Zillzaal 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 106 106 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crome Yellow | 106 | 109 | 102 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Senso Unico | 106 | 112 | 96 | +16 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Thefutureisbright | 95 | 94 | 85 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 4 | Arctic Drift Line | 93 | 97 | 93 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Baratheon | 96 | 106 | 86 | +20 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Super Silvano | 108 | 103 | 105 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Rex Union | 104 | 97 | 94 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | One Way Traffic | 111 | 109 | 101 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Black Thorn | 103 | 102 | 93 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Shango | 108 | 105 | 103 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Han Solo | 100 | 102 | 94 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Navy Strength | 99 | 97 | 89 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | Chollima | 98 | 85 | 91 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Master Redoute | 99 | 113 | 89 | +24 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Zillzaal | - | 112 | 106 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points