Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 13 JANUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Then In Focus
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Knave Of Diamonds 3 52.0 1 0.00 4.0 52 51 52 +0 2 Admirals Chance 5 59.0 2 1.25 0.0 75 77 77 +2 3 Then In Focus 2 61.0 3 2.75 0.0 79 79 79 +0 4 Tuk Tuk 3 59.0 4 5.50 4.0 66 65 65 -1 5 Flinders Range 3 56.5 5 6.00 4.0 61 60 60 -1 6 Duke Of Orange 3 61.5 6 6.25 4.0 71 70 70 -1 7 Daleel 3 60.0 7 6.35 4.0 68 67 67 -1 8 Charge Down 4 52.5 8 9.60 2.5 50 55 55 +5 9 One Bite At A Time 3 53.5 9 10.10 4.0 55 54 54 -1 10 Quenanza 4 55.0 10 10.20 2.5 58 60 60 +2 11 Absolu Noir 8 59.5 11 17.45 0.0 67 74 74 +7 12 Panzanella 3 59.5 12 18.70 4.0 67 66 66 -1 13 Question The Stars 3 52.0 13 34.95 4.0 51 51 51 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knave Of Diamonds | 52 | 57 | 52 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Admirals Chance | 75 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Then In Focus Line | 79 | 71 | 79 | -8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Tuk Tuk | 66 | 61 | 65 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Flinders Range | 61 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Duke Of Orange | 71 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Daleel | 68 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Charge Down | 50 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | One Bite At A Time | 55 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Quenanza | 58 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Absolu Noir | 67 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Panzanella | 67 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | Question The Stars | 51 | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points