Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 13 JANUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Then In Focus
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Knave Of Diamonds    3    52.0    1    0.00     4.0   52    51           52    +0
2    Admirals Chance      5    59.0    2    1.25     0.0   75    77           77    +2
3    Then In Focus        2    61.0    3    2.75     0.0   79    79           79    +0
4    Tuk Tuk              3    59.0    4    5.50     4.0   66    65           65    -1
5    Flinders Range       3    56.5    5    6.00     4.0   61    60           60    -1
6    Duke Of Orange       3    61.5    6    6.25     4.0   71    70           70    -1
7    Daleel               3    60.0    7    6.35     4.0   68    67           67    -1
8    Charge Down          4    52.5    8    9.60     2.5   50    55           55    +5
9    One Bite At A Time   3    53.5    9    10.10    4.0   55    54           54    -1
10   Quenanza             4    55.0    10   10.20    2.5   58    60           60    +2
11   Absolu Noir          8    59.5    11   17.45    0.0   67    74           74    +7
12   Panzanella           3    59.5    12   18.70    4.0   67    66           66    -1
13   Question The Stars   3    52.0    13   34.95    4.0   51    51           51    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Knave Of Diamonds 52 57 52 +5 4.0 -
2 Admirals Chance 75 77 77 ✓ Match 0.0 -
3 Then In Focus Line 79 71 79 -8 0.0
4 Tuk Tuk 66 61 65 -4 4.0 -
5 Flinders Range 61 71 60 +11 4.0 -
6 Duke Of Orange 71 53 70 -17 4.0 -
7 Daleel 68 66 67 -1 4.0 -
8 Charge Down 50 51 55 -4 2.5 -
9 One Bite At A Time 55 52 54 -2 4.0 -
10 Quenanza 58 49 60 -11 2.5 -
11 Absolu Noir 67 50 74 -24 0.0 -
12 Panzanella 67 61 66 -5 4.0 -
13 Question The Stars 51 51 51 ✓ Match 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points