Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING MONDAY 16 JANUARY MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Savannah Storm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Platinum Sky         3    60.5    1    0.00     5.0   97    83           97    +0
2    Diesel And Dust      4    53.5    2    0.25     2.5   86    74           76    -10
3    Savannah Storm       5    61.0    3    1.10     0.0   98    98           98    +0
4    ExpressFromTheUS     5    59.0    4    2.00     0.0   94    93           93    -1
5    Tamarisk Tree        5    53.0    5    2.05     0.0   92    81           82    -10
6    Imperial Master      4    56.5    6    3.20     2.5   89    82           82    -7
7    Supreme Dance        4    60.0    7    7.50     2.5   96    87           87    -9
8    Willow's Wish        4    55.5    8    8.00     2.5   87    78           78    -9
9    Juliet Tango         6    60.0    9    8.75     0.0   96    92           92    -4
10   Sudden Star          5    53.5    10   11.00    0.0   91    79           81    -10
11   Motown Magic         3    57.5    11   15.25    5.0   91    77           81    -10
12   Nordic Rebel         8    57.0    12   15.50    0.0   90    86           86    -4
13   Allez Moris          2    55.0    13   21.75    0.0   96    82           86    -10
99   Billy Bowlegs        5    55.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Platinum Sky 97 99 97 +2 5.0 -
2 Diesel And Dust 86 95 76 +19 2.5 -
3 Savannah Storm Line 98 102 98 +4 0.0
4 ExpressFromTheUS 94 98 93 +5 0.0 -
5 Tamarisk Tree 92 105 82 +23 0.0 -
6 Imperial Master 89 90 82 +8 2.5 -
7 Supreme Dance 96 76 87 -11 2.5 -
8 Willow's Wish 87 96 78 +18 2.5 -
9 Juliet Tango 96 81 92 -11 0.0 -
10 Sudden Star 91 86 81 +5 0.0 -
11 Motown Magic 91 75 81 -6 5.0 -
12 Nordic Rebel 90 81 86 -5 0.0 -
13 Allez Moris 96 95 86 +9 0.0 -
99 Billy Bowlegs - 104 82 +22 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points