Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING MONDAY 16 JANUARY MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Savannah Storm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Platinum Sky 3 60.5 1 0.00 5.0 97 83 97 +0 2 Diesel And Dust 4 53.5 2 0.25 2.5 86 74 76 -10 3 Savannah Storm 5 61.0 3 1.10 0.0 98 98 98 +0 4 ExpressFromTheUS 5 59.0 4 2.00 0.0 94 93 93 -1 5 Tamarisk Tree 5 53.0 5 2.05 0.0 92 81 82 -10 6 Imperial Master 4 56.5 6 3.20 2.5 89 82 82 -7 7 Supreme Dance 4 60.0 7 7.50 2.5 96 87 87 -9 8 Willow's Wish 4 55.5 8 8.00 2.5 87 78 78 -9 9 Juliet Tango 6 60.0 9 8.75 0.0 96 92 92 -4 10 Sudden Star 5 53.5 10 11.00 0.0 91 79 81 -10 11 Motown Magic 3 57.5 11 15.25 5.0 91 77 81 -10 12 Nordic Rebel 8 57.0 12 15.50 0.0 90 86 86 -4 13 Allez Moris 2 55.0 13 21.75 0.0 96 82 86 -10 99 Billy Bowlegs 5 55.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platinum Sky | 97 | 99 | 97 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Diesel And Dust | 86 | 95 | 76 | +19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Savannah Storm Line | 98 | 102 | 98 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | ExpressFromTheUS | 94 | 98 | 93 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tamarisk Tree | 92 | 105 | 82 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Imperial Master | 89 | 90 | 82 | +8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Supreme Dance | 96 | 76 | 87 | -11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Willow's Wish | 87 | 96 | 78 | +18 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Juliet Tango | 96 | 81 | 92 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sudden Star | 91 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Motown Magic | 91 | 75 | 81 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Nordic Rebel | 90 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Allez Moris | 96 | 95 | 86 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Billy Bowlegs | - | 104 | 82 | +22 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points