Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 17 JANUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Defender Of Rights
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pinch Hit 2 59.0 1 0.00 3.5 77 73 77 +0 2 Defender Of Rights 3 57.5 2 1.25 5.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Written In Stone 9 53.5 3 3.50 0.0 64 69 69 +5 4 Great Times 3 57.0 4 3.75 5.0 66 66 66 +0 5 Back To Basics 3 55.0 5 5.25 5.0 62 62 62 +0 6 Meteoric 3 60.0 6 6.00 5.0 72 72 72 +0 7 Tillieangus 5 59.0 7 7.25 0.0 70 80 80 +10 8 Treaty 2 51.0 8 7.30 3.5 66 57 57 -9 9 Rattle Bag 6 56.5 9 7.35 0.0 65 75 75 +10 10 Westwing Belter 7 52.5 10 12.00 0.0 57 67 67 +10 11 Lizado 3 52.5 11 13.00 5.0 55 57 57 +2 99 Cool Winter 2 60.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pinch Hit | 77 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Defender Of Rights Line | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Written In Stone | 64 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Great Times | 66 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Back To Basics | 62 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Meteoric | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tillieangus | 70 | 65 | 80 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Treaty | 66 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Rattle Bag | 65 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Westwing Belter | 57 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lizado | 55 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cool Winter | - | 78 | 76 | +2 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points