Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets Bright Future MIDDLE STAKES (For Horses 3-yrs and older with a nett rating of 95 & below)

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Line Horse
Steinbeck
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Royal Watch          4    58.0    1    0.00     3.0   86    86           86    +0
2    Night Ruler          3    56.0    2    0.50     6.0   81    83           83    +2
3    The Futurist         3    60.0    3    0.80     6.0   89    90           90    +1
4    Steinbeck            3    58.0    4    1.55     6.0   85    85           85    +0
5    Dubai Lights         4    56.0    5    2.80     3.0   80    85           85    +5
6    Warrior Bling        5    54.0    6    3.20     0.0   78    87           87    +9
7    Aeneas               3    56.0    7    4.45     6.0   84    77           77    -7
8    Northern Song        4    60.0    8    4.50     3.0   88    91           91    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Royal Watch 86 80 86 -6 3.0 -
2 Night Ruler 81 75 83 -8 6.0 -
3 The Futurist 89 104 90 +14 6.0 -
4 Steinbeck Line 85 79 85 -6 6.0
5 Dubai Lights 80 77 85 -8 3.0 -
6 Warrior Bling 78 87 87 ✓ Match 0.0 -
7 Aeneas 84 82 77 +5 6.0 -
8 Northern Song 88 77 91 -14 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points