Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 87 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Donquerari
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hooves Of Troy 5 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 86 79 +0 2 Renaissance Man 3 53.5 2 0.20 5.0 77 71 71 -6 3 Donquerari 5 56.0 3 3.70 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Sweet Symphony 3 57.0 4 3.75 5.0 81 78 78 -3 5 Chara Sands 3 53.0 5 4.80 5.0 78 70 70 -8 6 Winter Baron 2 58.5 6 5.10 3.5 91 84 84 -7 7 Princekresh 4 60.5 7 5.40 6.0 88 83 83 -5 8 Slim Jannie 2 51.0 8 7.30 3.5 81 69 71 -10 9 Stanley Park 2 52.5 9 9.90 3.5 79 72 72 -7 10 Sabatini 2 59.5 10 10.00 3.5 93 86 86 -7 11 Irfaans Boy 3 62.0 11 10.90 5.0 91 88 88 -3 12 Lebanese Pound 2 52.5 12 18.80 3.5 79 72 72 -7 99 Sikhulu 3 61.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 87 87 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hooves Of Troy | 79 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Renaissance Man | 77 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Donquerari Line | 86 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Sweet Symphony | 81 | 86 | 78 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chara Sands | 78 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Winter Baron | 91 | 81 | 84 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Princekresh | 88 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Slim Jannie | 81 | 95 | 71 | +24 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Stanley Park | 79 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Sabatini | 93 | 91 | 86 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Irfaans Boy | 91 | 90 | 88 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lebanese Pound | 79 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Sikhulu | - | 94 | 87 | +7 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points