Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BOOK A TABLE CALL 011-681-1796 FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Toto's Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Just Be Nice 3 51.0 1 0.00 5.0 65 57 65 +0 2 Toto's Dream 3 52.5 2 2.00 5.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Skyfull 2 52.0 3 2.40 0.0 65 71 71 +6 4 Speechmaker 5 52.0 4 2.75 0.0 61 71 71 +10 5 Light Of Day 5 57.0 5 3.50 0.0 82 80 80 -2 6 Field Of Vision 3 54.5 6 4.50 5.0 67 64 64 -3 7 Cheringoma 3 58.0 7 4.60 5.0 74 71 71 -3 8 Welcome Breeze 2 55.0 8 4.75 0.0 78 75 75 -3 9 October Fair 2 55.0 9 6.25 0.0 78 75 75 -3 10 Dancing Arabian 4 60.0 10 6.30 2.5 78 80 80 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Just Be Nice | 65 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Toto's Dream Line | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Skyfull | 65 | 54 | 71 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Speechmaker | 61 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Light Of Day | 82 | 61 | 80 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Field Of Vision | 67 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cheringoma | 74 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Welcome Breeze | 78 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | October Fair | 78 | 74 | 75 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Dancing Arabian | 78 | 60 | 80 | -20 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points