Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 19 JANUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
After Hours
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Save The Queen 3 56.0 1 0.00 5.0 74 51 74 +0 2 Irontail 4 57.5 2 0.05 2.5 67 59 59 -8 3 Kwazzi's Lady 4 54.5 3 0.10 2.5 60 53 53 -7 4 Robert Burns 3 58.5 4 0.20 5.0 69 56 59 -10 5 After Hours 7 55.5 5 1.50 0.0 63 63 63 +0 6 Pinch Hit 2 60.0 6 2.00 0.0 82 72 72 -10 7 Parker Getrix 4 53.0 7 3.00 2.5 58 52 52 -6 8 Earl of Cardigan 3 49.5 8 3.25 5.0 52 40 42 -10 9 Waqaas (AUS) 6 59.5 9 4.75 0.0 76 68 68 -8 10 Fog Bank 2 59.0 10 7.75 0.0 80 67 70 -10 99 Rattle Bag 6 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Save The Queen | 74 | 75 | 74 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Irontail | 67 | 64 | 59 | +5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Kwazzi's Lady | 60 | 82 | 53 | +29 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Robert Burns | 69 | 71 | 59 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | After Hours Line | 63 | 79 | 63 | +16 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Pinch Hit | 82 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Parker Getrix | 58 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Earl of Cardigan | 52 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Waqaas (AUS) | 76 | 56 | 68 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fog Bank | 80 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rattle Bag | - | 71 | 62 | +9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points