Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: #THISISRACING MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mesmerizing Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Red Berry 4 60.5 1 0.00 6.0 75 75 75 +0 2 Mesmerizing Moon 4 59.5 2 0.05 6.0 73 73 73 +0 3 The Ghan 4 56.5 3 0.15 6.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Razor Red 3 59.0 4 0.65 5.0 79 74 74 -5 5 Bold Captain 3 54.5 5 0.90 5.0 70 65 65 -5 6 Emperors Decree 4 56.5 6 1.65 6.0 70 67 67 -3 7 Tsar Peter 3 53.5 7 4.90 5.0 68 63 63 -5 8 Fast Draw 5 57.0 8 4.95 0.0 68 80 80 +12 9 Jet Mirage 3 59.0 9 5.70 5.0 79 74 74 -5 10 All The Sevens 6 58.0 10 5.95 0.0 70 82 82 +12 11 Namaqualand 5 56.5 11 6.95 0.0 75 79 79 +4 12 Daleel 3 59.0 12 10.20 5.0 79 74 74 -5 13 Tevye 4 58.0 13 11.95 6.0 70 70 70 +0 99 Forged By Fire 3 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Red Berry | 75 | 95 | 75 | +20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mesmerizing Moon Line | 73 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | The Ghan | 67 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Razor Red | 79 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bold Captain | 70 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Emperors Decree | 70 | 66 | 67 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tsar Peter | 68 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fast Draw | 68 | 63 | 80 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Jet Mirage | 79 | 100 | 74 | +26 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | All The Sevens | 70 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Namaqualand | 75 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Daleel | 79 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Tevye | 70 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Forged By Fire | - | 66 | 73 | -7 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points