Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: GAUTENG GUINEAS DAY 4 FEBRUARY GRADUATION PLATE (For 1 & 2 Time Winners & Maidens)
Line Horse
Raffles
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Unzen 3 56.0 1 0.00 4.0 106 90 78 -28 2 Raffles 2 56.0 2 4.25 0.0 99 99 99 +0 3 Houston 3 56.0 3 7.50 4.0 86 90 90 +4 4 Golden Prospect 2 56.0 4 11.00 0.0 96 98 98 +2 5 La Luvia 4 55.5 5 12.00 2.5 75 92 92 +17 6 Thambi 5 55.5 6 15.00 0.0 81 97 97 +16 7 Picture Perfect 3 60.0 7 99.99 4.0 80 98 98 +18 99 Bowl First 3 56.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 90 90 +0 99 Rain Or Shine 4 57.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unzen | 106 | 116 | 78 | +38 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Raffles Line | 99 | 105 | 99 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Houston | 86 | 69 | 90 | -21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Golden Prospect | 96 | 83 | 98 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | La Luvia | 75 | 71 | 92 | -21 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Thambi | 81 | 55 | 97 | -42 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Picture Perfect | 80 | 80 | 98 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bowl First | - | 78 | 90 | -12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rain Or Shine | - | 82 | 96 | -14 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points