Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 87 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Patronage
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Camora               4    56.5    1    0.00     2.5   80    80           80    +0
2    Manhatten Cafe       3    58.0    2    0.40     4.0   83    85           85    +2
3    Mr Pigalle           4    57.0    3    0.80     2.5   81    85           85    +4
4    Patronage            4    53.5    4    1.50     2.5   77    77           77    +0
5    Cavalieri            5    52.0    5    2.20     0.0   70    79           79    +9
6    His Choice           4    60.5    6    2.50     2.5   88    90           90    +2
7    Aj's Captain         3    58.5    7    2.80     4.0   84    83           83    -1
8    Bend The Rules       3    53.5    8    3.55     4.0   74    72           72    -2
9    Grappler             4    55.5    9    6.85     2.5   83    78           78    -5
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Camora 80 81 80 +1 2.5 -
2 Manhatten Cafe 83 85 85 ✓ Match 4.0 -
3 Mr Pigalle 81 68 85 -17 2.5 -
4 Patronage Line 77 76 77 -1 2.5
5 Cavalieri 70 73 79 -6 0.0 -
6 His Choice 88 81 90 -9 2.5 -
7 Aj's Captain 84 71 83 -12 4.0 -
8 Bend The Rules 74 74 72 +2 4.0 -
9 Grappler 83 79 78 +1 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points