Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: GAUTENG GUINEAS DAY 4 FEBRUARY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Full Go
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gimme Royalty 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 56 51 51 -5 2 Quixote 2 60.0 2 0.25 3.5 77 54 67 -10 3 Full Go 6 60.0 3 1.50 0.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Phantomoftheforest 3 60.0 4 2.25 5.0 64 51 54 -10 5 Pembroke 3 60.0 5 2.75 5.0 - 51 51 +51 6 Exhale 3 60.0 6 7.00 5.0 - 51 51 +51 7 Mazatlan 3 57.5 7 10.00 5.0 - 46 46 +46 8 Incredible India 3 60.0 8 10.25 5.0 - 51 51 +51 99 Magic Link 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 51 51 +0 99 Smelting 7 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 56 56 +0 99 Free Movement 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 51 51 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimme Royalty | 56 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quixote | 77 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Full Go Line | 61 | 59 | 61 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Phantomoftheforest | 64 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pembroke | - | 79 | 51 | +28 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Exhale | - | 66 | 51 | +15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mazatlan | - | 58 | 46 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Incredible India | - | 64 | 51 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Magic Link | - | - | 51 | -51 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Smelting | - | 52 | 56 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Free Movement | - | 81 | 51 | +30 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points