Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Raptor Island
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Brave Viking 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 79 69 69 -10 2 Raptor Island 2 59.0 2 1.25 0.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Mo The Man 3 59.0 3 3.00 4.0 - 63 63 +63 4 Carnelo 6 60.0 4 3.25 0.0 58 73 73 +15 5 Maith An Cailin 2 54.5 5 5.00 0.0 62 60 60 -2 6 Global Heart 3 59.0 6 13.00 4.0 63 61 61 -2 7 Destinationunknown 3 59.0 7 14.00 4.0 30 61 61 +31 8 DiplomaticImmunity 3 59.0 8 24.00 4.0 - 61 61 +61 9 Smart Pomodoro 2 59.0 9 99.99 0.0 55 69 69 +14 99 Radu 5 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 58 58 +0 99 Broadway 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 66 66 +0 99 Celtic Rush 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brave Viking | 79 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Raptor Island Line | 73 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mo The Man | - | 83 | 63 | +20 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Carnelo | 58 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Maith An Cailin | 62 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Global Heart | 63 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Destinationunknown | 30 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | DiplomaticImmunity | - | - | 61 | -61 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Smart Pomodoro | 55 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Radu | - | 64 | 58 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Broadway | - | 59 | 66 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Celtic Rush | - | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points