Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Fiery Duke
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crested Eagle 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 69 64 69 +0 2 Justfortheepenny 5 54.0 2 1.60 0.0 54 63 63 +9 3 Fiery Duke 3 57.0 3 2.30 4.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Allaroundtheworld ( 3 58.0 4 3.90 4.0 62 61 61 -1 5 Brave Voyager 3 55.0 5 3.95 4.0 56 55 55 -1 6 Bugsy Malone 5 50.5 6 4.45 0.0 49 53 53 +4 7 Walton Hall 5 50.5 7 4.50 0.0 52 53 53 +1 8 Jetavana 3 60.5 8 5.80 4.0 67 65 65 -2 9 Giambattista 3 60.5 9 15.50 4.0 67 65 65 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crested Eagle | 69 | 51 | 69 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Justfortheepenny | 54 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fiery Duke Line | 60 | 72 | 60 | +12 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Allaroundtheworld (GB) | 62 | 73 | 61 | +12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Brave Voyager | 56 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bugsy Malone | 49 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Walton Hall | 52 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jetavana | 67 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Giambattista | 67 | 87 | 65 | +22 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points