Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: GAUTENG GUINEAS DAY 4 FEBRUARY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Fast Duty
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Slinky Mapimpi 5 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 83 77 70 -13 2 Fast Duty 3 60.0 2 1.00 4.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Efficient Trader 2 57.0 3 2.00 0.0 65 74 74 +9 4 Air Fusion 3 60.0 4 6.50 4.0 - 69 69 +69 5 Williamson 2 60.0 5 7.75 0.0 - 77 77 +77 6 Cash Slip 2 60.0 6 9.75 0.0 71 77 77 +6 7 Moon Valley 4 58.5 7 10.75 2.0 38 70 70 +32 8 Grace De Silver 3 60.0 8 11.00 4.0 - 69 69 +69 99 Broadway 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Chateau Futura 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 99 Count Your Chances 5 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slinky Mapimpi | 83 | 101 | 70 | +31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fast Duty Line | 73 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Efficient Trader | 65 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Air Fusion | - | 55 | 69 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Williamson | - | 62 | 77 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cash Slip | 71 | 58 | 77 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Moon Valley | 38 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Grace De Silver | - | - | 69 | -69 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Broadway | - | 59 | 73 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chateau Futura | - | 59 | 71 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Count Your Chances | - | 51 | 71 | -20 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points