Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 10 FEBRUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bold Strike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Heathcliff 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 67 81 +0 2 Jaspero 4 57.0 2 0.50 2.5 66 64 64 -2 3 Quasimodo 2 56.0 3 1.25 0.0 74 66 66 -8 4 Bold Strike 5 59.0 4 2.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 5 Humble Tune 4 59.0 5 4.25 2.5 70 63 63 -7 6 American Landing 7 59.5 6 4.75 0.0 74 67 67 -7 7 Cane Lime 'n Soda 5 57.5 7 6.00 0.0 67 63 63 -4 8 Master Vision 5 52.0 8 6.50 0.0 53 52 52 -1 9 Anatura 5 59.5 9 6.60 0.0 71 67 67 -4 10 Ideal Time 3 54.0 10 7.35 5.0 60 46 50 -10 11 Daleel 3 58.0 11 7.45 5.0 68 54 58 -10 12 Dirty Martini 4 52.5 12 7.70 2.5 55 48 48 -7 13 Jack And Ginger 4 58.0 13 8.95 2.5 68 59 59 -9 14 Essos 4 53.0 14 9.05 2.5 58 49 49 -9 15 Tozzetti 3 56.5 15 21.30 5.0 65 51 55 -10 99 Euphoric 6 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 99 Silvia Louise 4 52.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 47 47 +0 99 Drengs Ferry 3 55.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 48 48 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heathcliff | 81 | 100 | 81 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jaspero | 66 | 76 | 64 | +12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Quasimodo | 74 | 89 | 66 | +23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bold Strike Line | 70 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Humble Tune | 70 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | American Landing | 74 | 80 | 67 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cane Lime 'n Soda | 67 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Master Vision | 53 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Anatura | 71 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ideal Time | 60 | 54 | 50 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Daleel | 68 | 66 | 58 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Dirty Martini | 55 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | Jack And Ginger | 68 | 63 | 59 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 14 | Essos | 58 | 65 | 49 | +16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 15 | Tozzetti | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Euphoric | - | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silvia Louise | - | 51 | 47 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Drengs Ferry | - | 62 | 48 | +14 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points