Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 87 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Franz Lehar
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Strawberry Bear      2    59.5    1    0.00     3.0   92    92           92    +0
2    Franz Lehar          2    60.0    2    2.40     3.0   93    93           93    +0
3    Justaguything        5    58.0    3    2.45     0.0   83    95           95    +12
4    Donquerari           5    55.0    4    2.65     0.0   86    89           89    +3
5    Noble Sniper         3    55.0    5    3.95     4.5   82    80           80    -2
6    Knight Warrior       5    57.5    6    4.45     0.0   82    94           94    +12
7    Stanley Park         2    51.5    7    5.50     3.0   79    76           76    -3
8    Intrepid             3    59.5    8    6.00     4.5   86    89           89    +3
9    Lord Wylie           7    57.5    9    6.40     0.0   82    94           94    +12
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Strawberry Bear 92 106 92 +14 3.0 -
2 Franz Lehar Line 93 83 93 -10 3.0
3 Justaguything 83 87 95 -8 0.0 -
4 Donquerari 86 86 89 -3 0.0 -
5 Noble Sniper 82 71 80 -9 4.5 -
6 Knight Warrior 82 74 94 -20 0.0 -
7 Stanley Park 79 69 76 -7 3.0 -
8 Intrepid 86 73 89 -16 4.5 -
9 Lord Wylie 82 69 94 -25 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points