Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACING240 FOR RACING. FOR YOU MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Celtillus
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Safari Blue 3 61.0 1 0.00 4.0 98 86 98 +0 2 Celtillus 5 59.0 2 1.00 0.0 94 94 94 +0 3 Magnum Fire 7 52.5 3 1.50 0.0 77 80 80 +3 4 Wings Of Fire 4 55.5 4 1.60 2.0 86 82 82 -4 5 You Know Who 3 59.0 5 2.60 4.0 94 84 84 -10 6 Assured 4 52.0 6 7.85 2.0 79 72 72 -7 7 Atkinson Grimshaw 4 52.5 7 12.10 2.0 78 73 73 -5 8 London Roads 3 59.5 8 26.85 4.0 95 83 85 -10 9 Mhlabeni 7 56.5 9 99.98 0.0 89 85 85 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Safari Blue | 98 | 91 | 98 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Celtillus Line | 94 | 92 | 94 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Magnum Fire | 77 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wings Of Fire | 86 | 93 | 82 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | You Know Who | 94 | 91 | 84 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Assured | 79 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Atkinson Grimshaw | 78 | 75 | 73 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | London Roads | 95 | 78 | 85 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mhlabeni | 89 | 90 | 85 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points