Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 17 FEBRUARY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Flinders Range
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Waiting For Summer 3 61.5 1 0.00 4.0 77 74 77 +0 2 Then In Focus 2 58.5 2 0.75 0.0 79 80 80 +1 3 Flinders Range 3 55.0 3 2.00 4.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Path Of Choice 5 59.0 4 4.75 0.0 72 77 77 +5 5 Last Storm 2 57.0 5 5.25 0.0 76 73 73 -3 5 Track Commander 4 57.5 5 5.25 2.0 69 70 70 +1 7 Irish Rain 4 59.5 7 6.00 2.0 76 74 74 -2 8 Ushuaia 4 61.0 8 6.50 2.0 76 77 77 +1 9 Dammi 2 58.0 9 7.50 0.0 78 75 75 -3 10 Coffee Break 3 58.0 10 8.00 4.0 70 67 67 -3 11 Alingalonga 4 60.0 11 8.25 2.0 74 75 75 +1 12 Super Handsome 4 56.0 12 9.50 2.0 66 67 67 +1 13 Storm Chaser 4 61.0 13 12.50 2.0 76 77 77 +1 14 Homer Fidget 4 58.0 14 14.00 2.0 70 71 71 +1 15 Admirals Chance 5 57.0 15 18.75 0.0 76 73 73 -3 99 Mingshi 4 52.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Grand Destiny 3 52.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Alado's Pride 7 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waiting For Summer | 77 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Then In Focus | 79 | 71 | 80 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Flinders Range Line | 64 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Path Of Choice | 72 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Last Storm | 76 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Track Commander | 69 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Irish Rain | 76 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ushuaia | 76 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dammi | 78 | 55 | 75 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Coffee Break | 70 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Alingalonga | 74 | 82 | 75 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Super Handsome | 66 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Storm Chaser | 76 | 69 | 77 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Homer Fidget | 70 | 55 | 71 | -16 | 2.0 | - | |
| 15 | Admirals Chance | 76 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mingshi | - | 56 | 59 | -3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Grand Destiny | - | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Alado's Pride | - | 73 | 74 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points