Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 75 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Ethiopian Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Princess Donelly 4 56.0 1 0.00 6.0 67 72 67 +0 2 Ethiopian Queen 3 58.5 2 1.60 5.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Kitten's Adventure 3 54.5 3 2.10 5.0 74 71 71 -3 4 Family Favourite 3 49.5 4 2.90 5.0 69 61 61 -8 5 Baby Africa 4 56.5 5 4.20 6.0 68 73 73 +5 6 Forgetful Girl 4 59.0 6 4.70 6.0 73 78 78 +5 6 Diamond Girl 4 55.5 6 4.70 6.0 66 71 71 +5 8 Star Choice 5 58.5 8 4.90 0.0 72 89 89 +17 9 Sweet Symphony 3 62.0 9 7.90 5.0 86 86 86 +0 10 Our Emily 3 54.0 10 8.90 5.0 75 70 70 -5 11 Conker The World 4 52.0 11 9.20 6.0 55 64 64 +9 12 Angel Of Justice 3 59.5 12 9.40 5.0 81 81 81 +0 13 Fateful Mistress 5 48.0 13 10.60 0.0 59 68 68 +9 14 Trattoria 5 58.0 14 13.80 0.0 71 88 88 +17 99 Mvulazana 3 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princess Donelly | 67 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ethiopian Queen Line | 79 | 81 | 79 | +2 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Kitten's Adventure | 74 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Family Favourite | 69 | 69 | 61 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Baby Africa | 68 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Forgetful Girl | 73 | 58 | 78 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Diamond Girl | 66 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Star Choice | 72 | 77 | 89 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sweet Symphony | 86 | 86 | 86 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Our Emily | 75 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Conker The World | 55 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Angel Of Justice | 81 | 57 | 81 | -24 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Fateful Mistress | 59 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Trattoria | 71 | 56 | 88 | -32 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mvulazana | - | 82 | 75 | +7 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points