Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Valiente
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Iron Bark            3    59.0    1    0.00     4.5   76    67           76    +0
2    Beckoning Beauty     4    56.5    2    0.20     5.0   71    61           61    -10
3    Chara Sands          3    56.5    3    0.30     4.5   76    62           66    -10
4    Renaissance Man      3    60.0    4    0.35     4.5   81    69           71    -10
5    Valiente             5    58.5    5    0.55     0.0   75    75           75    +0
6    Hope Is Power        3    59.0    6    1.75     4.5   76    67           67    -9
7    Trafalgar Square     6    55.0    7    1.90     0.0   68    68           68    +0
8    Tribute To You       4    58.0    8    1.95     5.0   74    64           64    -10
9    Princess Tea         3    60.5    9    7.75     4.5   79    70           70    -9
10   Big Slick            2    59.5    10   7.80     3.0   83    71           73    -10
11   Star In Winter       2    58.5    11   10.60    3.0   81    69           71    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Iron Bark 76 96 76 +20 4.5 -
2 Beckoning Beauty 71 75 61 +14 5.0 -
3 Chara Sands 76 70 66 +4 4.5 -
4 Renaissance Man 81 79 71 +8 4.5 -
5 Valiente Line 75 75 75 ✓ Match 0.0
6 Hope Is Power 76 80 67 +13 4.5 -
7 Trafalgar Square 68 69 68 +1 0.0 -
8 Tribute To You 74 90 64 +26 5.0 -
9 Princess Tea 79 77 70 +7 4.5 -
10 Big Slick 83 64 73 -9 3.0 -
11 Star In Winter 81 72 71 +1 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points