Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 69 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Lucretius
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Majestic Power       3    54.5    1    0.00     5.0   58    43           58    +0
2    American Dream       3    57.0    2    0.25     5.0   63    48           53    -10
3    Lucretius            6    60.0    3    0.30     0.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Tom's Act            3    59.5    4    1.30     5.0   68    56           58    -10
5    Exceed Expectation   3    53.5    5    1.55     5.0   59    44           49    -10
6    Bugsy Malone         5    52.0    6    4.05     0.0   49    49           49    +0
7    Coromandel           4    53.0    7    4.10     2.5   55    46           46    -9
8    Barbatti             3    54.5    8    4.90     5.0   63    43           53    -10
9    Ravens Sword         3    59.0    9    5.40     5.0   67    52           57    -10
10   Lou Lou The Legend   3    56.0    10   5.50     5.0   71    46           61    -10
11   Lord Minver          3    52.0    11   7.30     5.0   53    38           43    -10
12   Immeasurable         5    61.0    12   8.10     0.0   71    66           66    -5
99   Fever                5    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     52           52    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Majestic Power 58 63 58 +5 5.0 -
2 American Dream 63 81 53 +28 5.0 -
3 Lucretius Line 69 64 69 -5 0.0
4 Tom's Act 68 64 58 +6 5.0 -
5 Exceed Expectation 59 52 49 +3 5.0 -
6 Bugsy Malone 49 49 49 ✓ Match 0.0 -
7 Coromandel 55 59 46 +13 2.5 -
8 Barbatti 63 47 53 -6 5.0 -
9 Ravens Sword 67 53 57 -4 5.0 -
10 Lou Lou The Legend 71 59 61 -2 5.0 -
11 Lord Minver 53 53 43 +10 5.0 -
12 Immeasurable 71 72 66 +6 0.0 -
99 Fever - 52 52 ✓ Match 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points