Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 87 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Winter Waves
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Maxiumus             4    56.0    1    0.00     2.0   79    78           79    +0
2    Knight Warrior       5    57.5    2    1.30     0.0   82    88           88    +6
3    Winter Waves         7    51.0    3    2.30     0.0   74    74           74    +0
3    Ralph The Rascal     8    59.5    3    2.30     0.0   86    91           91    +5
5    Patronage            4    53.5    5    2.35     2.0   77    75           75    -2
6    Desolate Road        6    57.5    6    2.65     0.0   82    87           87    +5
7    Eddie The Mover      2    56.0    7    3.25     0.0   86    84           84    -2
8    Dandolo              4    56.0    8    3.55     2.0   79    79           79    +0
9    Crested Eagle        3    53.5    9    3.85     3.0   74    72           72    -2
10   Wave Warrior         3    54.5    10   4.45     3.0   76    73           73    -3
11   Temperate Zone       2    55.5    11   6.05     0.0   85    81           81    -4
12   Purple Nkanyezi      5    60.0    12   8.95     0.0   87    90           90    +3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Maxiumus 79 88 79 +9 2.0 -
2 Knight Warrior 82 74 88 -14 0.0 -
3 Winter Waves Line 74 77 74 +3 0.0
3 Ralph The Rascal 86 73 91 -18 0.0 -
5 Patronage 77 76 75 +1 2.0 -
6 Desolate Road 82 82 87 -5 0.0 -
7 Eddie The Mover 86 76 84 -8 0.0 -
8 Dandolo 79 86 79 +7 2.0 -
9 Crested Eagle 74 51 72 -21 3.0 -
10 Wave Warrior 76 68 73 -5 3.0 -
11 Temperate Zone 85 74 81 -7 0.0 -
12 Purple Nkanyezi 87 80 90 -10 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points