Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SUNDAY 26 FEBRUARY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pendragon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Looking Hot 3 59.0 1 0.00 4.5 64 61 64 +0 2 Pendragon 5 58.0 2 0.80 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Mercer Girl 6 52.5 3 1.00 0.0 54 57 57 +3 4 Beaded Gown 3 59.5 4 2.00 4.5 65 62 62 -3 5 After Hours 7 58.0 5 2.50 0.0 62 68 68 +6 6 Great Times 3 56.5 6 3.25 4.5 64 56 56 -8 7 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.5 7 4.35 0.0 51 57 57 +6 8 What A Tiger 5 56.5 8 4.75 0.0 65 65 65 +0 9 Grecia 3 52.5 9 4.85 4.5 48 48 48 +0 10 Var Park 5 59.0 10 5.25 0.0 75 70 70 -5 11 Ice Eater 6 60.0 11 7.75 0.0 66 72 72 +6 12 Lulu's Boy 5 59.5 12 7.80 0.0 65 71 71 +6 13 Samthewiseman 5 58.0 13 8.80 0.0 68 68 68 +0 99 Rock On Captain 3 59.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 62 62 +0 99 Giancarlo 2 52.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Hearts Thunder 4 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Looking Hot | 64 | 68 | 64 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Pendragon Line | 68 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mercer Girl | 54 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Beaded Gown | 65 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | After Hours | 62 | 79 | 68 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Great Times | 64 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Bridge Of Spies | 51 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | What A Tiger | 65 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Grecia | 48 | 53 | 48 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Var Park | 75 | 87 | 70 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ice Eater | 66 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lulu's Boy | 65 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Samthewiseman | 68 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rock On Captain | - | 57 | 62 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Giancarlo | - | 45 | 50 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hearts Thunder | - | 66 | 62 | +4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points