Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: PLAY SOCCER 6, 10 AND 13 MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens R15000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Opening Ceremony
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Federal Reserve 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 65 60 65 +0 2 Opening Ceremony 3 56.5 2 1.25 3.0 55 55 55 +0 3 Ponderosa Pine 2 59.0 3 2.75 0.0 67 64 64 -3 4 The Last Belle 2 56.5 4 3.25 0.0 62 59 59 -3 5 American Dazzler 2 53.5 5 4.50 0.0 56 51 51 -5 6 So Dacha 3 57.5 6 4.75 3.0 57 53 53 -4 7 Hot Ice 3 54.0 7 7.00 3.0 57 46 47 -10 8 Teardrop 2 59.0 8 7.10 0.0 67 62 62 -5 9 Maya's Cat 3 60.0 9 7.15 3.0 69 58 59 -10 10 Western Jack 3 52.0 10 7.40 3.0 43 42 42 -1 11 Sunset Reaper 2 54.0 11 11.65 0.0 57 52 52 -5 12 Il Combattente 3 52.0 12 17.15 3.0 52 42 42 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Federal Reserve | 65 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Opening Ceremony Line | 55 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Ponderosa Pine | 67 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | The Last Belle | 62 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | American Dazzler | 56 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | So Dacha | 57 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hot Ice | 57 | 47 | 47 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Teardrop | 67 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Maya's Cat | 69 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Western Jack | 43 | 50 | 42 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sunset Reaper | 57 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Il Combattente | 52 | 46 | 42 | +4 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points