Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH TAB OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Downing Seven
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Inside Story 4 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 66 67 67 +1 2 Promettere 5 61.0 2 0.50 0.0 77 80 80 +3 3 Kelp Forest 5 61.0 3 1.50 0.0 - 78 78 +78 4 Ilha Da Mauricia 3 57.5 4 2.75 3.0 75 64 65 -10 5 Downing Seven 5 56.5 5 3.15 0.0 68 68 68 +0 6 Final Edition 5 61.0 6 4.15 0.0 - 76 76 +76 7 Green Falcon 2 59.5 7 4.65 0.0 74 72 72 -2 8 Bennelong Point 2 54.0 8 4.85 0.0 63 61 61 -2 9 State Of Shock 3 59.5 9 5.05 3.0 68 66 66 -2 10 Saint Silas 2 52.5 10 7.30 0.0 59 58 58 -1 11 All About Ronnie 3 56.0 11 9.55 3.0 67 59 59 -8 12 Rainbow Colours 3 61.0 12 10.80 3.0 77 69 69 -8 13 Twice Told 3 61.0 13 13.30 3.0 - 69 69 +69 14 Hero's Destiny 3 52.5 14 28.55 3.0 46 52 52 +6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inside Story | 66 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Promettere | 77 | 98 | 80 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Kelp Forest | - | 81 | 78 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ilha Da Mauricia | 75 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Downing Seven Line | 68 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Final Edition | - | 78 | 76 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Green Falcon | 74 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bennelong Point | 63 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | State Of Shock | 68 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Saint Silas | 59 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | All About Ronnie | 67 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Rainbow Colours | 77 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Twice Told | - | 51 | 69 | -18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Hero's Destiny | 46 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points